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02/10/2012 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two streaks will be on the line this evening at Time Warner Cable Arena, as the Chicago Bulls go after their fifth straight win, while the Charlotte Bobcats attempt to avoid matching the longest losing streak in franchise history.
The Bulls continued to impress on Wednesday, as Carlos Boozer scored 18 points and in an easy 90-67 win over the New Orleans Hornets. Chicago has now won three straight by at least 20 points, all, though, coming against teams with losing records while allowing 90 or fewer.
Derrick Rose, who left Monday's win over New Jersey with lower back spasms, played only 22 minutes and sat the entire fourth quarter. He had six points, six assists and five rebounds.
"He says he feels pretty good," Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said of the reigning MVP.
Rose recently missed four games because of a toe injury, including the Bulls' 95-89 win over Charlotte back on January 21. The toe seems fine, but the back has been a cause for concern the past couple of weeks.
"The back was kind of tight," Rose said. "(Coach Tom Thibodeau) did a great job of managing my minutes when he saw we had the game put away."
Given the way the Bobcats have played of late, Rose may not be needed much tonight either.
Charlotte is a miserable 3-22 on the year and enters tonight's contest having dropped 12 in a row and another loss tonight would equal the franchise's longest drought - set Jan. 11-Feb. 1, 2006.
The Bobcats' most recent loss came on Tuesday in Boston, as the Celtics defeated them, 94-84.
Charlotte was led by Reggie Williams' 21 points and got a season-high 20 points from Derrick Brown. Kemba Walker dropped in 16 points in the loss.
"When you have to play your main guys for as long as we do, it gets kind of tough," Charlotte coach Paul Silas said about the Bobcats' recent struggles. "We've just got to keep battling."
The Bobcats, who are 2-8 at home, have lost three straight to the Bulls, but have won four of their last six in their building in this series.
<< Hantuchova advances, Zvonareva retires in Pattaya City
Pattaya City, Thailand (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defending champion Daniela
Hantuchova was among the quarterfinal winners Friday at the Pattaya Open,
while two-time winner Vera Zvonareva was forced to retire from her match
because
<< McNeese State-Texas A&M game canceled
Lake Charles, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - McNeese State's scheduled football game at
Texas A&M on Sept. 1 has been canceled, both schools announced.
Texas A&M initiated the cancellation after it entered into an Aug. 30 match-up
with Louisi
<< McIlroy, Bjorn share lead in Dubai
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - World No. 2 Rory McIlroy and
Thomas Bjorn both fired seven-under 65s Friday to move into a share of the
lead after two rounds of the Dubai Desert Classic.
The duo finished 36 holes at 13-under-p
<< Croatia, Japan split opening Davis Cup singles
Hyogo, Japan (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Croatia and Japan split the opening singles
matches in their first-round Davis Cup tie on Friday.
Japan picked up the first point of the day when Go Saeda made a stunning rally
for a 6-7 (3-7), 3-6, 6-4, 6
Clippers resume road trip vs. 76ers >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia 76ers will close out a seven-game stretch
that head coach Doug Collins dubbed as "Death Row" when they entertain the
upstart Los Angeles Clippers tonight from Wells Fargo Center.
The Sixers are 4-2 on the
Heat visit nation's capital to take on Wizards >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After getting their six-game road trip off to a poor start,
the Miami Heat will dust themselves off for tonight's showdown against the
lowly Washington Wizards at the Verizon Center.
The Heat had won three straight and 11
Cavs and Bucks clash at the 'Q' >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Cavaliers rookie Kyrie Irving probably won't play
again tonight after suffering a concussion earlier this week, but Ramon
Sessions will be there to pick up the slack.
Sessions filled in nicely for Irving the prev
Nets and Pistons finish home-and-home set >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second-year center Greg Monroe is starting to heat up for a
Detroit Pistons team riding a season-high three-game winning streak and is
aiming for his fourth straight double-double tonight versus the New Jersey
Nets in the bac
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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